Coronavirus

(Science News, July 2, 2020):

Newer variant of COVID-19-causing virus dominates global infections -
Virus with D614G change in Spike out-competes original strain,
but may not make patients sicker

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(Referenced paper, June 26, 2020, by authors of previously referenced paper):

Tracking changes in SARS-CoV-2 Spike:
evidence that D614G increases infectivity of the COVID-19 virus

A SARS-CoV-2 variant carrying the Spike protein amino acid change D614G has become the most prevalent form in the global pandemic. Dynamic tracking of variant frequencies revealed a recurrent pattern of G614 increase at multiple geographic levels: national, regional and municipal. The shift occurred even in local epidemics where the original D614 form was well established prior to the introduction of the G614 variant. The consistency of this pattern was highly statistically significant, suggesting that the G614 variant may have a fitness advantage. We found that the G614 variant grows to higher titer as pseudotyped virions. In infected individuals G614 is associated with lower RTPCR cycle thresholds, suggestive of higher upper respiratory tract viral loads, although not with increased disease severity. These findings illuminate changes important for a mechanistic understanding of the virus, and support continuing surveillance of Spike mutations to aid in the development of immunological interventions.

Our data show that over the course of one month, the variant carrying the D614G Spike mutation became the globally dominant form of SARS-CoV-2. Phylogenetic tracking of SARS-CoV-2 variants at Nextstrain reveals complex webs of evolutionary and geographical relationships (nextstrain.org; Hadfield et al., 2018)); travelers dispersed G614 variants globally, and likely would have introduced and reintroduced G614 variants into different locations. Still D614 prevalent epidemics were very well established in many locations when G614 first began to appear.

Our global tracking data show that the G614 variant in Spike has spread faster than D614. We interpret this to mean that the virus is likely to be more infectious, a hypothesis consistent with the higher infectivity observed with G614 Spike-pseudotyped viruses we observed in vitro (Fig. 6), and the G614 variant association with higher patient Ct values, indicative of potentially higher in vivo viral loads (Fig. 5). Interestingly, we did not find evidence of G614 impact on disease severity; i.e., it was not significantly associated with hospitalization status. However, an association between the G614 variant and higher fatality rates has been reported in a comparison of mortality rates across countries, although this kind of analysis can be complicated by different availability of testing and care in different nations (Becerra-Flores and Cardozo, 2020).

While higher infectiousness of the G614 variant may fully account for its rapid spread and persistence, other factors should also be considered. These include epidemiological factors, as viral spread also depends on who it infects, and epidemiological influences can also cause changes in genotype frequency to mimic evolutionary pressures. In all likelihood, a combination of evolutionary selection for G614 and the founder’s effects of being introduced into highly mobile and connected populations may have together contributed in part to its rise. The G-clade mutations in the 5’ UTR, or in the RdRP protein might also have impact. In addition, there could be immunological consequences resulting from the G614 change in Spike.

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(Nature, July 3, 2020):

Six months of coronavirus: the mysteries scientists are still racing to solve -
From immunity to the role of genetics, Nature looks at five pressing questions about COVID-19 that researchers are tackling.

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(Monica Gandhi, The Conversation, June 23, 2020):

Can people spread the coronavirus if they don’t have symptoms?
5 questions answered about asymptomatic COVID-19

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(New York Times Magazine, June 25, 2020):

How Humanity Unleashed a Flood of New Diseases -
What do Covid-19, Ebola, Lyme and AIDS have in common?
They jumped to humans from animals
after we started destroying habitats and ruining ecosystems.

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They have to start creating factories for making disposable masks. a 5 year run is still a lot of money to be made and the public would definitely appreciate it. Masks right now are becoming more and more scarce. To many cheap knock offs are flooding the market too. A quality, 3M mask can cost $5 a piece!!! Getting 30 and rotating them every month is still expensive and they wear out. The virus is here to stay for a while. It’s time the US gov offers grants to companies willing to start creating manufacturing plants for this stuff.

Humans are social creatures. The “social distancing” isn’t going to work as well as they think. It’s like AIDS… People are going to have sex. JMHO

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I still believe this virus is going to kill a lot of people as fall and winter arrives. Right now, the virus’s communicability is being effected by the small amounts of UVC light coming from the sun. I wonder how the “developed countries” are going to fare as the colder seasons begin?

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According to the latest news, People contracting and getting sick from the virus in the US is on the rise again and fast. Even with people wearing masks and practicing all the precautionary measures, I’m amazed at the quick uptick in infections. The US can’t afford to shut the economy down again. Right now, President Trump wants a larger stimulus package than the first one sent out. With a Republican president leaning so far into Democratic territory on this, you really have to wonder what the real damage to the economy will be in the fall? A lot of companies closed for good due to the first shutdown.

I don’t know how many were impacted. I’m sure the real damage to it won’t show until later in the year as those that are barely making it slide more and more into the red.

I still think we haven’t seen the worst of this disease. I think when the cooler months start the increase is going to explode. JMHO

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I wonder if live virus immunization isn’t a perfect tool to kill this virus. Some people get real sick and die, while others don’t have it as bad in their lungs, they get sick but don’t die.
239 scientists agree to aerosolized transmission:

So maybe the survivors came into contact with the virus without inhaling it to their lungs.
Now the survivors can donate convalescent plasma to help critically ill.
We can beat the virus.

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I’m missing @Raven-Knightly’s science-centric updates :expressionless: Now I have to trawl through stuff myself to get updates :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

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Ooorah @Mikser.

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Couldn’t agree more. From some sources, all you get is one, repeated POV, and it never waivers. ALL sides, or nothing.

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Over here in South Aus, being winter, my local area hospitals are reporting @ 90% decrease in normal seasonal influenza & no current covid cases.
Social distancing is in effect, we are no longer completely locked down but borders to some states are closed due to increases in other states.

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Another border state:

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Moderna’s vaccine seems to have a bunch of side-effects (figure 1) …

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Ok, but we need yearly flu shots though…

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I’ll give you that one.

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Not necessarily. If b memory cells are involved they might know how to produce antibodies, if you get infected…

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@Mikser well THAT is certainly unexpected.

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A few of the previous ones are great as well (actually, all of them are great).

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