Initially I wanted to vote as can’t decide. Then changed to yes. But only for those situations when a bunch of people go and party at the beach or in college towns.
All numbers are estimations. Thing to not forget is that 0.8% mortality rate is taken in the earliest stage when hospitals and stuff are not totally overcrowded with patients. When they are then those numbers can explode much higher which is happening in Italy for example (and important thing to remember, Italy has an excellent health system, more hospital beds than most other developed countries, they have universal healthcare which is important factor as well and they have pretty strict isolation rules for quite some time; now imagine those Italy’s numbers in worse environments…)
To lockdown one or three state is asinine IMO. Anywhere there is at least one case is a possibility spreading the virus. These state by state measures will end in failure IMO. Trump made a comment that made sense to me… “Go Big Or Go Home!” With numbers rising everyday nationwide I think a much broader solution is needed… at least until a successful treatment or cure is discovered.
BTW… This thread might just be a hypothetical anyway…
The US (and the UK) are both currently only testing patients as they’re being admitted to hospital, so a relatively low number of people already fairly desperately unwell - it’s hardly surprising that an alarming proportion of them test positive.
Other countries, most notably South Korea, started a vigorous preventative regime really early in their infection cycle of testing contacts of patients and the wider community so they could be isolated before spreading the virus on to too many others. So very large sample sizes with relatively low positive results.
The reality is that the number of known infections in both the US and UK are drastically under stated, perhaps by x10 or x20 the declared statistics.
Unfortunately I can’t accept any data from China. Compared to how the rates and numbers elsewhere are going, I don’t see how a country with a population of nearly 1.4 billion can top out at just ~82k total cases, while for example the 60 million population of Italy has 10k more and climbing. For all we know they have 15 million cases but aren’t telling anyone.
I share your scepticism about China but it certainly helped that they moved to a very strict (and mostly observed) lockdown very early in the outbreak (after just 400 declared fatalities).
Where did you get your percentage’s from?
Death rate as far as I can see is 1 percent.
True numbers will never be know. You can go by people testing positive and those who die. The larger the tested pool will bring the death rates down further.
How many have COVID and don’t get tested?
85% of people of who actually have the virus show no symptom to a heavy flu then recover. They will never be tested. Throwing out any numbers is a fools errand. The only number I look for is the number of the infected coming down.
They also lie thru their teeth. I find it funny they have removed all news services that can verify what is happening inside a the country. As far as I can see all news being released is the mouth of the communist party. Their growth rate numbers before this happened were pure fiction. WHO reports can’t be reliable because his home country is reliant on Chinese money. They proved it the other day by not recognizing Tiwan.
Not much different than in the US where a large part of the country don’t believe any national news reports depending on who reports it. We have come to believe that a large part of news is considered to be fake news.
Their is a difference between people who have a different opinion than a country who dictates opinion. Imagine if all US news only came from the government.